Conf = Patriot ------ State = A
Mascot = Terriers ------ Coach = Ryan PolleyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.8857574 home-field advantage = -1.11 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 208 A Siena MAAC (11- 4, 93.1) 9- 7 214 H Monmouth CAA ( 5- 9, 88.7) 15- 6 218 H Brown Ivy ( 3-10, 92.3) 8- 7 222 H Air Force ASUN ( 9- 7, 91.9) 15- 7 301 A Navy Patriot ( 8- 7, 93.3) 9-13 308 A Bucknell Patriot ( 5- 9, 91.4) 21-12 315 H Loyola Patriot ( 3-11, 92.6) 13- 7 322 A Army Patriot (12- 2, 98.5) 10- 9 325 A Harvard Ivy (10- 4, 96.5) 7-16 329 H Holy Cross Patriot ( 4-11, 89.2) 16- 4 405 H Duke ACC (12- 5, 96.8) 8-11 412 A Lafayette Patriot (10- 6, 93.8) 9-11 419 H Lehigh Patriot ( 5-10, 93.4) 12- 7 425 H Colgate Patriot (10- 7, 96.4) 14-12 502 N Lafayette Patriot (10- 6, 93.8) 12-10 504 N Colgate Patriot (10- 7, 96.4) 10-17
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 A Siena 9- 7 2 0 1.19 214 H Monmouth 15- 6 9 7 0.00 218 H Brown 8- 7 1 3 - -2.84 222 H Air Force 15- 7 8 4 + 2.79 301 A Navy 9-13 -4 0 -- -4.60 308 A Bucknell 21-12 9 2 ++ 4.52 315 H Loyola 13- 7 6 3 + 2.44 322 A Army 10- 9 1 -4 ++ 5.56 325 A Harvard 7-16 -9 -2 -- -4.44 329 H Holy Cross 16- 4 12 6 0.06 405 H Duke 8-11 -3 0 - -2.34 412 A Lafayette 9-11 -2 0 - -2.12 419 H Lehigh 12- 7 5 2 + 2.26 425 H Colgate 14-12 2 0 + 2.32 502 N Lafayette 12-10 2 1 0.78 504 N Colgate 10-17 -7 -1 -- -5.57UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A Navy 9-13 -4 0 -- -4.60 325 A Harvard 7-16 -9 -2 -- -4.44 504 N Colgate 10-17 -7 -1 -- -5.57 218 H Brown 8- 7 1 3 - -2.84 405 H Duke 8-11 -3 0 - -2.34 412 A Lafayette 9-11 -2 0 - -2.12OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 A Bucknell 21-12 9 2 ++ 4.52 322 A Army 10- 9 1 -4 ++ 5.56 222 H Air Force 15- 7 8 4 + 2.79 315 H Loyola 13- 7 6 3 + 2.44 419 H Lehigh 12- 7 5 2 + 2.26 425 H Colgate 14-12 2 0 + 2.32
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 95.02 Power Rank................. 18 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 84.95 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 22 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6162 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 19 RPI Rating............... .5725 RPI Rank................... 13 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 19 Selection sum ........... 47 Selection Rank ............ 15 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -10. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 14 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -10. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 15 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 4.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 4- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 4.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.0