Conf = Patriot
Nickname = MA Terriers Coach = Ryan PolleGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.0482025 home-field advantage = -0.69 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 N St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 (12- 4, 93.6) 14-10 210 H Vermont America East ( 8- 8, 90.1) 18- 8 216 H Bryant America East ( 9- 5, 91.8) 6-12 220 A Brown Ivy ( 3-11, 90.3) 16-10 302 H Navy Patriot ( 9- 7, 91.6) 9-16 309 H Bucknell Patriot ( 4-10, 88.7) 13-10 316 A Loyola (MD) Patriot ( 7- 8, 92.2) 12-10 322 H Army West Point Patriot (11- 3, 94.5) 14- 9 327 A Duke ACC (13- 6, 97.0) 10-11 330 A Holy Cross (MA) Patriot ( 2-11, 86.1) 22- 6 409 H Yale Ivy (11- 4, 95.2) 16-18 413 H Lafayette Patriot ( 6- 7, 89.3) 10-11 420 A Lehigh Patriot (10- 7, 91.9) 12-13 426 A Colgate Patriot ( 8- 7, 93.0) 13-12 430 H Colgate Patriot ( 8- 7, 93.0) 18-17 503 A Army West Point Patriot (11- 3, 94.5) 11-10 505 N Lehigh Patriot (10- 7, 91.9) 10-11
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 N St Josephs (PA) 14-10 4 0 ++ 4.59 210 H Vermont 18- 8 10 3 + 3.33 216 H Bryant 6-12 -6 1 --- -7.96 220 A Brown 16-10 6 2 + 3.91 302 H Navy 9-16 -7 2 --- -9.17 309 H Bucknell 13-10 3 5 - -2.09 316 A Loyola (MD) 12-10 2 0 1.88 322 H Army West Point 14- 9 5 0 ++ 5.71 327 A Duke 10-11 -1 -4 + 3.69 330 A Holy Cross (MA) 22- 6 16 6 0.75 409 H Yale 16-18 -2 -1 -0.51 413 H Lafayette 10-11 -1 4 -- -5.41 420 A Lehigh 12-13 -1 0 -1.49 426 A Colgate 13-12 1 0 1.61 430 H Colgate 18-17 1 0 0.22 503 A Army West Point 11-10 1 -2 + 3.10 505 N Lehigh 10-11 -1 1 - -2.18UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 216 H Bryant 6-12 -6 1 --- -7.96 302 H Navy 9-16 -7 2 --- -9.17 413 H Lafayette 10-11 -1 4 -- -5.41 309 H Bucknell 13-10 3 5 - -2.09 505 N Lehigh 10-11 -1 1 - -2.18OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 N St Josephs (PA) 14-10 4 0 ++ 4.59 322 H Army West Point 14- 9 5 0 ++ 5.71 210 H Vermont 18- 8 10 3 + 3.33 220 A Brown 16-10 6 2 + 3.91 327 A Duke 10-11 -1 -4 + 3.69 503 A Army West Point 11-10 1 -2 + 3.10
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 93.05 Power Rank................. 22 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 81.38 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 23 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6362 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 16 RPI Rating............... .5597 RPI Rank................... 18 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 26 Selection sum ........... 67 Selection Rank ............ 20 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -70. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 30 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -75. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 33 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.2 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.3